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DraftKings

Per-market closing-line efficiency for DraftKings.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	724	0.1904	0.1873	0.5613	0.5550	0.707	+0.0015 (Pinnacle)
Spread	747	0.2501	0.2502	0.6933	0.6936	0.499	+0.0006 (FanDuel)
Total	747	0.2498	0.2501	0.6928	0.6934	0.498	+0.0005 (Pinnacle)
Assists	7656	0.2452	0.2456	0.6834	0.6844	0.557	+0.0004 (BetOnline)
Points	10564	0.2495	0.2492	0.6921	0.6916	0.521	best
Rebounds	9791	0.2480	0.2473	0.6892	0.6878	0.541	+0.0006 (FanDuel)
3-Pointers Made	7983	0.2436	0.2435	0.6802	0.6800	0.567	+0.0019 (BetOnline)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	873	0.2368	0.2365	0.6662	0.6654	0.590	+0.0006 (FanDuel)
Spread	873	0.2196	0.2232	0.6307	0.6383	0.655	+0.0019 (Pinnacle)
Total	873	0.2466	0.2481	0.6864	0.6893	0.541	+0.0014 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	2665	0.2439	0.2427	0.6808	0.6784	0.576	+0.0006 (Bookmaker)
Spread	2661	0.2410	0.2425	0.6750	0.6781	0.579	+0.0029 (Circa)
Total	2547	0.2498	0.2500	0.6928	0.6931	0.514	+0.0007 (FanDuel)
Batter Hits	42059	0.2377	0.2374	0.6680	0.6675	0.597	best
Batter Total Bases	27880	0.2501	0.2503	0.6942	0.6945	0.564	+0.0089 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Earned Runs	4178	0.2475	0.2466	0.6881	0.6862	0.546	+0.0002 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Hits Allowed	3881	0.2485	0.2484	0.6902	0.6899	0.543	best
Pitcher Strikeouts	4275	0.2467	0.2464	0.6866	0.6859	0.557	+0.0022 (FanDuel)

WNBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	350	0.2014	0.2033	0.5888	0.5924	0.691	+0.0039 (Pinnacle)
Spread	356	0.2497	0.2503	0.6926	0.6938	0.498	+0.0008 (Bookmaker)
Total	356	0.2499	0.2492	0.6929	0.6916	0.573	best

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	106	0.2374	0.2333	0.6684	0.6620	0.613	+0.0014 (Bookmaker)
Spread	101	0.2508	0.2494	0.6948	0.6919	0.524	+0.0013 (FanDuel)
Total	107	0.2497	0.2496	0.6926	0.6923	0.527	+0.0020 (FanDuel)
Passing Attempts	212	0.2495	0.2516	0.6922	0.6964	0.457	+0.0012 (BetOnline)
Passing Completions	212	0.2489	0.2479	0.6910	0.6889	0.526	best
Passing Interceptions	212	0.2487	0.2496	0.6906	0.6924	0.505	+0.0074 (FanDuel)
Passing Touchdowns	214	0.2371	0.2316	0.6670	0.6556	0.638	best
Passing Yards	214	0.2499	0.2499	0.6929	0.6929	0.471	best
Longest Reception	1006	0.2502	0.2504	0.6935	0.6939	0.506	+0.0013 (FanDuel)
Receiving Yards	1196	0.2504	0.2506	0.6940	0.6944	0.485	+0.0003 (BetOnline)
Rushing Yards	576	0.2496	0.2504	0.6923	0.6939	0.473	+0.0000 (BetOnline)