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DraftKings

Per-market closing-line efficiency for DraftKings.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-26

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	43	—	0.1891	—	0.5578	0.721	best
Spread	43	—	0.2487	—	0.6905	0.611	+0.0027 (FanDuel)
Total	43	—	0.2508	—	0.6948	0.500	+0.0023 (FanDuel)
Assists	428	0.2421	0.2414	0.6767	0.6758	0.598	best
Points	599	0.2502	0.2476	0.6935	0.6883	0.550	best
Rebounds	552	0.2444	0.2470	0.6818	0.6871	0.555	+0.0012 (BetOnline)
3-Pointers Made	479	0.2423	0.2436	0.6777	0.6803	0.583	+0.0036 (FanDuel)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	195	0.2329	0.2313	0.6580	0.6546	0.614	+0.0035 (Circa)
Spread	195	0.2311	0.2336	0.6548	0.6602	0.610	+0.0058 (Pinnacle)
Total	195	0.2476	0.2501	0.6883	0.6933	0.540	+0.0028 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	64	0.2312	0.2334	0.6546	0.6595	0.672	+0.0001 (Bookmaker)
Spread	64	0.2583	0.2582	0.7106	0.7100	0.500	+0.0096 (Circa)
Total	58	0.2486	0.2537	0.6903	0.7006	0.404	+0.0071 (FanDuel)
Batter Hits	1153	0.2354	0.2390	0.6629	0.6708	0.588	+0.0012 (BetOnline)
Batter Total Bases	709	0.2566	0.2580	0.7078	0.7111	0.554	+0.0149 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Earned Runs	100	0.2414	0.2396	0.6758	0.6721	0.586	best
Pitcher Hits Allowed	101	0.2524	0.2569	0.6979	0.7070	0.470	+0.0002 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Strikeouts	116	0.2476	0.2478	0.6884	0.6888	0.544	+0.0048 (BetOnline)

WNBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	20	—	0.2389	—	0.6696	0.650	+0.0087 (Bookmaker)
Spread	20	—	0.2526	—	0.6983	0.400	+0.0048 (Bookmaker)
Total	20	—	0.2481	—	0.6893	0.750	best

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	72	0.2372	0.2372	0.6657	0.6698	0.569	+0.0027 (Bookmaker)
Spread	68	0.2513	0.2502	0.6957	0.6935	0.491	+0.0031 (FanDuel)
Total	73	0.2498	0.2493	0.6927	0.6917	0.529	+0.0018 (Pinnacle)
Passing Attempts	144	0.2501	0.2518	0.6933	0.6967	0.452	+0.0015 (FanDuel)
Passing Completions	144	0.2493	0.2486	0.6918	0.6903	0.511	best
Passing Interceptions	144	0.2487	0.2483	0.6905	0.6897	0.510	+0.0067 (FanDuel)
Passing Touchdowns	144	0.2362	0.2346	0.6650	0.6618	0.622	+0.0006 (BetOnline)
Passing Yards	144	0.2501	0.2501	0.6934	0.6934	0.457	+0.0001 (FanDuel)
Longest Reception	706	0.2501	0.2504	0.6934	0.6939	0.504	+0.0010 (FanDuel)
Receiving Yards	820	0.2498	0.2499	0.6928	0.6930	0.491	best
Rushing Yards	395	0.2499	0.2502	0.6929	0.6935	0.476	best