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DraftKings

Per-market closing-line efficiency for DraftKings.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	52	0.2037	0.1980	0.5922	0.5772	0.706	best
Spread	52	0.2514	0.2492	0.6959	0.6915	0.610	+0.0031 (FanDuel)
Total	52	0.2494	0.2502	0.6919	0.6935	0.541	+0.0016 (FanDuel)
Assists	518	0.2394	0.2398	0.6713	0.6725	0.604	best
Points	729	0.2510	0.2477	0.6956	0.6885	0.542	best
Rebounds	675	0.2438	0.2464	0.6807	0.6860	0.556	+0.0024 (BetOnline)
3-Pointers Made	583	0.2445	0.2447	0.6822	0.6826	0.578	+0.0036 (FanDuel)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	245	0.2275	0.2265	0.6467	0.6445	0.629	+0.0005 (FanDuel)
Spread	245	0.2277	0.2302	0.6477	0.6530	0.620	+0.0039 (Pinnacle)
Total	245	0.2489	0.2510	0.6909	0.6952	0.527	+0.0041 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	855	0.2381	0.2376	0.6687	0.6677	0.593	+0.0000 (Bookmaker)
Spread	855	0.2403	0.2427	0.6736	0.6785	0.579	+0.0053 (Pinnacle)
Total	810	0.2495	0.2499	0.6920	0.6930	0.494	+0.0001 (FanDuel)
Batter Hits	14781	0.2379	0.2380	0.6685	0.6687	0.596	best
Batter Total Bases	10033	0.2522	0.2523	0.6987	0.6988	0.561	+0.0107 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Earned Runs	1405	0.2459	0.2447	0.6848	0.6824	0.570	+0.0007 (BetOnline)
Pitcher Hits Allowed	1405	0.2492	0.2490	0.6915	0.6911	0.529	best
Pitcher Strikeouts	1437	0.2489	0.2469	0.6909	0.6870	0.549	+0.0027 (BetOnline)

WNBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	138	0.1890	0.1916	0.5595	0.5658	0.715	+0.0070 (Pinnacle)
Spread	144	0.2495	0.2501	0.6921	0.6933	0.516	+0.0016 (FanDuel)
Total	144	0.2498	0.2490	0.6927	0.6912	0.618	best

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	106	0.2374	0.2333	0.6684	0.6620	0.613	+0.0014 (Bookmaker)
Spread	101	0.2508	0.2494	0.6948	0.6919	0.524	+0.0013 (FanDuel)
Total	107	0.2497	0.2496	0.6926	0.6923	0.527	+0.0020 (FanDuel)
Passing Attempts	212	0.2495	0.2516	0.6922	0.6964	0.457	+0.0012 (BetOnline)
Passing Completions	212	0.2489	0.2479	0.6910	0.6889	0.526	best
Passing Interceptions	212	0.2487	0.2496	0.6906	0.6924	0.505	+0.0074 (FanDuel)
Passing Touchdowns	214	0.2371	0.2316	0.6670	0.6556	0.638	best
Passing Yards	214	0.2499	0.2499	0.6929	0.6929	0.471	best
Longest Reception	1006	0.2502	0.2504	0.6935	0.6939	0.506	+0.0013 (FanDuel)
Receiving Yards	1196	0.2504	0.2506	0.6940	0.6944	0.485	+0.0003 (BetOnline)
Rushing Yards	576	0.2496	0.2504	0.6923	0.6939	0.473	+0.0000 (BetOnline)