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Circa

Per-market closing-line efficiency for Circa.

Window: 30 Days 90 Days Season All Time As of 2026-10-27

NBA

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	52	0.2049	0.1989	0.5937	0.5791	0.712	+0.0009 (DraftKings)
Spread	51	0.2500	0.2500	0.6931	0.6932	0.500	+0.0040 (FanDuel)
Total	51	0.2500	0.2500	0.6931	0.6931		+0.0014 (FanDuel)

NHL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	187	0.2323	0.2295	0.6565	0.6507	0.623	+0.0035 (FanDuel)
Spread	187	0.2255	0.2297	0.6431	0.6520	0.625	+0.0034 (Pinnacle)
Total	181	0.2484	0.2494	0.6899	0.6919	0.541	+0.0025 (BetOnline)

MLB

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	855	0.2375	0.2379	0.6674	0.6683	0.588	+0.0003 (Bookmaker)
Spread	855	0.2389	0.2382	0.6707	0.6691	0.594	+0.0008 (Pinnacle)
Total	819	0.2502	0.2500	0.6935	0.6932	0.504	+0.0002 (FanDuel)

NFL

Market	# Markets	Brier Open	Brier Close	Log-Loss Open	Log-Loss Close	Hit Rate	VS Best
Moneyline	106	0.2389	0.2340	0.6746	0.6642	0.613	+0.0021 (Bookmaker)
Spread	102	0.2502	0.2495	0.6936	0.6922	0.568	+0.0014 (FanDuel)
Total	105	0.2500	0.2500	0.6931	0.6932	0.500	+0.0024 (FanDuel)