Pigskin Observer
Specialist
Moderate
Created Feb 28, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L-P)
23-16-3
Win Rate
59.0%
ROI
+13.5%
Units
+5.69
Avg CLV
+0.95%
CLV Rate
76.2%
Predictions History (42)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NFL | Full Game | DAL @ PHI |  Eagles +4.5 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.5% | 17:59:41 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | CIN @ BAL |  Ravens +3 |
-110 | Circa | +0.0% | 11:00:29 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | IND @ MIN |  Colts +7.5 |
-123 | Pinnacle | -1.3% | 11:01:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | MIA @ NYJ |  Dolphins +4 |
-108 | Bookmaker | +1.9% | 11:00:52 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | TB @ CAR |  Buccaneers +3 |
-112 | DraftKings | +0.7% | 10:58:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 22 | NFL | Full Game | NE @ CHI |  Patriots +3 |
-108 | Pinnacle | +1.6% | 17:58:07 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Oct 19 | NFL | Full Game | WAS @ SF |  Commanders +7.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +1.9% | 17:59:25 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | TEN @ IND |  Titans +6.5 |
-105 | FanDuel | +2.1% | 11:01:20 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | NYJ @ NE |  Jets +7.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +0.1% | 11:00:49 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | CAR @ PHI | Eagles +3 |
-102 | FanDuel | +1.9% | 11:00:42 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | BAL @ CLE |  Browns +3 |
+103 | Pinnacle | +2.0% | 11:00:54 | W (+1.03 Units) |
| Oct 15 | NFL | Full Game | SEA @ DEN |  Broncos +2.5 |
-102 | Bookmaker | +0.7% | 18:00:45 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 12 | NFL | Full Game | BUF @ LAR |  Bills +3.5 |
-114 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 17:58:17 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | CIN @ MIA | Dolphins +7 |
-105 | FanDuel | +0.9% | 11:02:05 | P (+0 Units) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | HOU @ TEN | Titans +6.5 |
-102 | Pinnacle | +1.7% | 11:01:24 | L (-1.02 Units) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | NYG @ WAS |  Giants +3.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | +2.3% | 10:59:43 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 11 | NFL | Full Game | LV @ NE |  Raiders +3.5 |
-108 | Bookmaker | +1.6% | 10:59:06 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Oct 08 | NFL | Full Game | TB @ DAL | Buccaneers +9.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | -0.4% | 17:57:52 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | NE @ BUF | Patriots +7 |
-115 | Circa | +0.0% | 10:58:32 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | GB @ TB | Buccaneers +3 |
-105 | DraftKings | +0.5% | 11:01:17 | P (+0 Units) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | LAR @ PHI | Eagles +3.5 |
-105 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 11:00:11 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 04 | NFL | Full Game | NYJ @ CHI | Jets +3.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.2% | 10:58:41 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 01 | NFL | Full Game | PIT @ CLE | Browns +3 |
-119 | Pinnacle | -2.0% | 17:58:42 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 28 | NFL | Full Game | PHI @ CHI |  Bears +3.5 |
-108 | FanDuel | +0.7% | 17:59:12 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | CIN @ PIT |  Steelers +3.5 |
-110 | DraftKings | +0.3% | 10:57:28 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | SEA @ WAS | Commanders +9.5 |
-115 | Pinnacle | +2.5% | 10:57:35 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | LAC @ BUF |  Chargers +7.5 |
-117 | Pinnacle | -0.1% | 10:59:09 | L (-1.17 Units) |
| Sep 27 | NFL | Full Game | NYJ @ DET | Jets +7 |
-115 | Pinnacle | +0.0% | 10:59:22 | P (+0 Units) |
| Sep 24 | NFL | Full Game | ATL @ GB |  Falcons +5.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +1.3% | 17:59:44 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 21 | NFL | Full Game | NYG @ LAR | Giants +7 |
-117 | Pinnacle | -1.0% | 17:59:43 | L (-1.17 Units) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | PIT @ NE | Steelers +5.5 |
-108 | DraftKings | +3.8% | 11:02:30 | L (-1.08 Units) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ TB | Browns +9 |
-115 | Pinnacle | +2.3% | 11:01:27 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | NO @ BAL |  Saints +9 |
-118 | Pinnacle | +0.2% | 11:01:03 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 20 | NFL | Full Game | PHI @ TEN | Titans +7.5 |
-119 | Pinnacle | -0.3% | 11:00:09 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 17 | NFL | Full Game | DET @ BUF |  Lions +5.5 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.4% | 17:57:41 | L (-1.04 Units) |
| Sep 14 | NFL | Full Game | DEN @ KC | Broncos +2.5 |
-112 | DraftKings | +1.2% | 17:58:20 | L (-1.12 Units) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | ATL @ PIT | Falcons +6.5 |
-105 | Circa | +1.2% | 11:00:18 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ JAX | Browns +9.5 |
-111 | Bookmaker | +3.1% | 11:01:09 | L (-1.11 Units) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | NO @ DET | Saints +7 |
-104 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 10:59:16 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 13 | NFL | Full Game | TB @ CIN | Buccaneers +4 |
-110 | Pinnacle | +1.5% | 10:58:13 | L (-1.10 Units) |
| Sep 10 | NFL | Full Game | SF @ LAR |  49Ers +3.5 |
+100 | Pinnacle | +1.9% | 17:57:51 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Sep 09 | NFL | Full Game | NE @ SEA | Patriots +3.5 |
-120 | FanDuel | -1.9% | 17:44:43 | W (+1 Unit) |
Showing – of
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Single Model
Edge Threshold
7.0%
Prediction Model
Matchup Sharp
Optimized Bradley-Terry tuned to sharp closing lines for precise win probabilities.