Modeled Catalyst
Multi-Focus
Moderate
Created Oct 13, 2026
Performance
Record (W-L)
7-5
Win Rate
58.3%
ROI
+14.0%
Units
+1.68
Avg CLV
+1.0%
CLV Rate
83.3%
Predictions History (12)
| Date | League | Period | Game | Prediction | Odds | Book | CLV | Time ET | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | NFL | Full Game | DAL @ PHI |  Eagles Over 43.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | -0.2% | 18:00:15 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | SF @ ATL |  Falcons Under 50.5 |
-110 | Bookmaker | +1.7% | 10:58:31 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | IND @ MIN |  Vikings Over 41.5 |
-105 | Pinnacle | +1.8% | 11:00:07 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | MIA @ NYJ |  Jets Over 39.5 |
-102 | DraftKings | +0.7% | 11:01:24 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 25 | NFL | Full Game | CLE @ TEN |  Titans Over 36.5 |
-118 | DraftKings | -0.2% | 10:59:02 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 22 | NFL | Full Game | NE @ CHI |  Bears Under 50.5 |
+100 | Pinnacle | +1.2% | 18:01:47 | L (-1 Unit) |
| Oct 19 | NFL | Full Game | WAS @ SF |  49Ers Under 52.5 |
-115 | DraftKings | +1.7% | 17:59:29 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | PIT @ TB |  Buccaneers Over 38.5 |
-105 | FanDuel | +0.5% | 10:59:54 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | CAR @ PHI | Eagles Over 38.5 |
-115 | FanDuel | +2.2% | 11:01:19 | W (+1 Unit) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | BAL @ CLE |  Browns Over 39.5 |
-105 | FanDuel | +1.2% | 10:57:48 | L (-1.05 Units) |
| Oct 18 | NFL | Full Game | CHI @ ATL | Falcons Under 52 |
-116 | Bookmaker | +0.5% | 11:01:06 | L (-1.16 Units) |
| Oct 15 | NFL | Full Game | SEA @ DEN |  Broncos Over 40.5 |
-106 | Pinnacle | +0.9% | 18:00:36 | L (-1.06 Units) |
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Strategy
Prediction Source
Weighted Ensemble
Edge Threshold
7.0%
Consensus Type
Weighted Average
Prediction Models
Poisson Steady
50%
Slow-moving Poisson for stable expected-score projections across large samples.
XGBoost Score Steady
50%
Conservative XGBoost with fewer trees and higher regularization for stability.